Climate change causing more severe wildfires, larger insect outbreaks in temperate forests

Climate change causing more severe wildfires, larger insect outbreaks in temperate forests
The southern slope of Mount Adams in Washington has burned four times in the last 14 years, which is significantly more frequent than expected at that elevation and forest types. Credit: Sebastian Busby

A warmer, drier climate is expected is increase the likelihood of larger-scale forest disturbances such as wildfires, insect outbreaks, disease and drought, according to a new study co-authored by a Portland State University professor.

The study, published Oct. 19 in the journal Nature Communications, sought to provide a more complete snapshot of disturbances in the world's by quantifying the size, shape and prevalence of disturbances and understanding their drivers.

The researchers analyzed 50 like national parks as well as their immediate surroundings, allowing them to compare disturbances inside protected areas that are more -related from those just outside that would also be impacted by human land use.

The study found that while many temperate forests are dominated by small-scale disturbance events—driven largely by windstorms and cooler, wetter —there was also a strong link between high disturbance activity and warmer and drier-than-average climate conditions. Andrés Holz, a co-author and geography professor in PSU's College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, said this suggests that with a warming climate, disturbances are expected to become larger and more severe in some temperate forests including the western U.S.

"Under the warmer conditions we have been seeing, it is likely that we're going to see a higher probability of areas that tend to have very big disturbances," he said.

Among the study's findings:

Areas with low disturbance activity were largely associated with windstorms under cooler, rainy conditions, while areas with large disturbance activity were largely associated with wildfires, bark beetle outbreaks and drought under warmer, drier conditions.

In the majority of landscapes outside protected areas, disturbance patches were generally larger and less complex in shape than in protected areas. For example, man-made disturbances like logging are simpler in shape than the path a wildfire, storm or insect might take inside a protected area. But in landscapes affected by large-scale fires or outbreaks, the size and complexity of what happens inside and outside the protected areas are more comparable.

"Climate change is mimicking the footprint of disturbances in protected areas to what we are doing through land-use change outside of protected areas," Holz said. "Under warmer conditions, we might see more similarities between protected and their surroundings in some temperate forests globally."

More information: Andreas Sommerfeld et al, Patterns and drivers of recent disturbances across the temperate forest biome, Nature Communications (2018). DOI: 10.1038/s41467-018-06788-9

Journal information: Nature Communications

Citation: Climate change causing more severe wildfires, larger insect outbreaks in temperate forests (2018, November 8) retrieved 29 March 2024 from https://phys.org/news/2018-11-climate-severe-wildfires-larger-insect.html
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