Scientists have gotten better at predicting where earthquakes will occur, but they're still in the dark about when they will strike and how devastating they will be.
You shouldn't spend such a substantial portion of your yearly income (10% or so, right?) on such an app, it would be fiscally irresponsible for you to do such a thing. For others of us spending .0001% of their income for a science project with well over a 50% success rate seems reasonable.
On EQ Prediction it is very true that Suspicious Observers have released an app. Actually, Ben Davidson, who runs the Suspicious Observer site has been making some very accurate predictions using the Solar Sunspots and solar wind data and has been at the 80%+ on his accuracy. His Published Papers are exceedingly well done, and are rigorous studies and work that even other scientists are finding that their work backs his and vice versa. His Disaster Prediction App is actually fairly cheap for the amount of work that has gone into it.
Disbelievers may want to check it out anyhow, be prepared for the rigorous analysis that Ben uses.
Disbelievers may want to check it out anyhow, be prepared for the rigorous analysis that Ben uses.
Lol. No more rigorous than a tabloid psychic! There is a thread here on this bloke: https://forum.cos...d9fee1da
There was a much longer thread on ISF. In that, I was able to show that my contention that my having bacon for breakfast was just as accurate for forecasting EQs as his nonsense. One only has to know where the most earthquake prone areas are, and to then do a statistical analysis of the likelihood of a particular magnitude earthquake happening in a certain time period, and it is relatively easy. Of course, it is easy to be taken in by such apparently correct predictions, if one doesn't understand such things. Essentially, he's just playing a numbers game. It's a scam.
jonesdumb is just a compulsive liar, he will rant and rave and spread ad hominem attacks with no response to the actual science. You can see an example of his compulsive lying here, and where he "conveniently" fails to address it. https://phys.org/...ons.html Pathetic that all he has are lies and attacks.
Beautiful work on the microscopic properties, but very unlikely this kinds of insights could help us predict earthquakes, because they are collectives failures growing very fast after a very long nucleation time of a, impossible to predict.
Beautiful work on the microscopic properties, but very unlikely this kinds of insights could help us predict earthquakes, because they are collectives failures growing very fast after a very long slow nucleation time with a very large numbers of slow microscopic events, impossible to predict. Try to predict when a simple calendar stuck on a wall with scotch tape will fall down witin a minute six months later !! This is an experiment that I make every year and impossible to predict when the calendar will fall down !!!
cantdrive85
Feb 22, 2017There is an app for that, the Disaster Prediction App.
http://www.suspic...vers.org
And a paper too;
http://quakewatch...rt-1.pdf